Explaining house price changes in Greece

The Life-cycle Effects of House Price Changes

We develop a life-cycle model to study the effects of house price changes on household consumption and welfare. The model explicitly incorporates the dual feature of housing as both a consumption good and an investment asset and allows for costly adjustments in housing and mortgage positions. Our analysis indicates that although house price changes have small aggregate effects, their consumptio...

Explaining Asymmetric Price Adjustment

In an in…nite horizon model with stochastic costs, moderate in‡ation, costly price adjustment, and optimal price setting, we demonstrate that individual price reductions will be larger but less frequent than price increases. With positive in‡ation, aggregate prices are more responsive to cost increases than to cost decreases, and a calibrated version of the model …ts well the magnitude of downw...

Understanding House-Price Dynamics

*The views expressed here are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia or the Federal Reserve System. or most homeowners, housing is the single most important component of their nonpension wealth. Therefore, a change in house prices greatly affects the total wealth of many households. Furthermore, movements in house prices can af...

House Price Index Methodologies

House Price Prediction Using LSTM

In this paper, we use the house price data ranging from January 2004 to October 2016 to predict the average house price of November and December in 2016 for each district in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen. We apply Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model to generate the baseline while LSTM networks to build prediction model. These algorithms are compared in terms of Mean Squar...